I've come up with a measurement system to gauge the consistency and profitability of a trader. I'm not sure if anyone has ever done this this way.
There is something called a profit factor that compares a trader's overall $ gain to their overall $ loss but that doesn't mean much to a beginning trader as one huge gain/loss could account for the majority of his or her P/L. With a profit factor, anything over a 1.0 means you are profitable.
It works like this, my average $ gain is $15.17 and my average $ loss is $26.48 so my overall reward/risk is 0.57:1
My winning percentage is 31.48% so my losing percentage is 68.52%
Basically you multiply 0.57 by 31.48 which = 17.94 and you multiply 1 by 68.52 which is obviously 68.52.
Add 17.94 + 68.52 which = 86.46
Then you would divide 17.94 by 86.46 and get .207 which is your profitability rating (which is pretty shitty)
Anything over a .50 means you/your edge is consistently profitable. If you have uploaded all of your trades, you can look at your Profitly statistics to see where you stand.
On a good note, my YTD consistency rating is 0.442 for shorting so I'm just a couple good trades away from being a consistently profitable short seller!
@planb I guess we'll see in the upcoming months if your theory is accurate. Pretty cool if it is
@twist89 i hope so. Sykes' is 0.675 and he's made millions. It just shows you don't have to be perfect in this game to make consistent. What blows my mind is that 90% of traders never make it past .50
@planb seems like you did quite a bit of research on this. Let's get over 50 then ;)
@timothysykes
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