I didnt trade today just watched Tim's webinar. According to Tim, this is the season of earnings winners.
What I learned in the webinar today was that many earnings winners are one and done. In order to verify, look at the stock's past behavior. I saw one green streak but the next day is red. Much like SINO. In particular I watched Tim trade GRPN and CIDM.
The announcement for quarter report for GRPN was made pre market. That caused an immediate spike with a small dip at 4.20. Tim bought the dip and the stock continued to rise. He sold at 4.35. GRPN went as high as 4.48 pre market. After market opened GRPN dropped to 4.30 before it gradually rose to 4.65. Needless to say Tim took his pre market 15 cent profits.
Tim's second trade was CIDM which he found from searching big percent gainers of the morning. He saw CIDM in the process of spiking and bought a small position in a dip and sold it a few seconds after when it made 1.75 to 1.90. This was also a same day quarterly report earnings winner which was announced aftermarket yesterday and very little pre market action today.
Lesson learned was capitalize on the earnings catalyst after the reaction to the market is good but then enter the trade in a dip. The reasoning is that the volume has already proved itself and as long as the action is happening in the morning, then you might be able to get a quick 25 cents or 30 cents per share.
Tim had a plan for his exit before he entered the trade. I am going to start doing that.
Thank you for the quick recap of the Webinar... Was unable to make it due to work, but will be watching it once it is posted. This was very helpful with Earnings Winners, as I need work on how to play these Stocks. Thanks
Thanks Kenneth, very good post.
Due to really inconvenient time zones, I'm look at at a different approach. Earnings winners can be great swing trades over about 5 days. The ideal setup is an earnings winner with technical breakout, ideally green on day 1, but it can work if red if the breakout is maintained (look at PRCP). Get in late in the day and then look for 7% -15 % over the next 5 days or so, as earnings winners can run. This is working great in paper trading, but I'm picking the wrong ones when using real money :-)
Remember that just bc many of the earnings winners on his w/l are one and done, doesn't mean many of them in general are the same way. This is a secondary strategy for him, so he only profiles a small fraction of the winners we get each quarter. last quarter we had about 50 earnings winners under $20 that ran for several days
Join now or log in to leave a comment