Format is a bit different than the last watchlists. I made this while in class so no time to wordsmith it nicely. This at least shows my analysis and how I go about structuring my potential trade plans. Highlighted are ones I feel strongly about in terms of taking a LONG position. Blue highlights my trade plan if I were to execute a trade.

 

I have been making watchlists for a while now and starting to assess the accuracy of my predictions. So far its been going very well. I HIGHLY recommend making watchlists. They are a very good way to see if your analysis is correct. Just a reminder that all watchlists I create are LONG biased.

 

NOTE: Overall Market has been down due to fed rate discussion/oil/china etc. However, IBB (Biotech) has been rallying quite nicely and expected to rally through the end of this year. Therefore, these stocks are not reflective of a trade that is only 1 day, but rather over the course of possibly days or weeks. Just because they are down a couple days doesn't mean its a sell signal or that they are no longer in play.

 

$MXL - 

• RSI 58.91 closed 13.42, below 13.52
• Above 13.38
• Massive growth 25% for next year $369M from $294M
• Missed street estimates 0.21 v 0.22e, EoY EPS 0.98, 1.16 '16 = 18% growth
• Assuming P/E 15 x 0.97 = 14.55, aggressive 20 x 0.98 = 19.6
• Upside target possibly $15+ based on next resistance
• Analysts target $15 to $20, mean $17
• Trade: Entry above 13.52, with upside to $15+

 

• Profile - 53M shares out, Float 52M
• Mkt Cap 808M, Total Cash 74M, Current ratio 2.14, Rev 171.24M
• Op Cash flow 9M
• Forward P/E 11.57

 

$ONE - 

• RSI 70.5 closed 2.85, above 2.79
• Trailing P/E 8.6, Forward P/E 7.5 with 0.43 EPS EoY, 0.38 FY '16
• Met EPS of 0.09 v 0.09e, Est end of year 0.43 equals 8 x 0.43 = 3.44   /share target, P/E 7.5 x 0.43 = 3.225
• Upside target possibly $7.5+ based on next resistance
• Analysts target $3 to $5, mean $4.12
• Trade: Pullback to 2.8ish to enter, with upside to $3+

 

$MEET - 

• RSI 74.74 closed 2.43, above 2.38
• RSI long term  70.98
• Looks like a pullback today
• Analysts 3 to 4, mean of 3.5 - 2014
• Trailing P/E 15.31, with 0.06 EPS TTM
• 1st half EPS of 0.08, Est end of year 0.12 equals 15.3 x 0.12 = 1.836  /share target
• Trade: Look for morning pullback, enter around 2.30's, exit around $3

 

• Profile
• Social network for meeting new people on web and mobile.
• Shares Outstanding 45.46M, Float 32.73, Total Cash 16M, Current ratio 4.1
• Op Cash 4.83M
• Total revenue approx. $14.2M, increase of 22% from 3rd qtr. Above release guidance range of $12.5M to $13M
• Adjusted EBITDA approx. 134% above prior 3rd year

$GIG - 

• RSI 68.49 closed 2.45, above 2.44
• RSI long term 66.79
• Market Cap 116M, Total cash of 38M, 0K in debt, current ratio of 7.19
• Operating cash flow of 2.24M, EBITDA 1.65M
• Shares out 44.6M, Float 32M
• Sept 15 EPS estimates beat 0.06 v 0.05e, Revenue growth 39M to 45M '16 = 14% growth
• Guiding to 0.18 EPS EoY, 0.19 for '16
• Analysts target $2.8 to $4, mean of $3.26
• Upside of conservative P/E 10 x 0.18 = 1.8 , P/E 15 x 0.18 = 2.7
• Trade: Look for potential pullback, enter around2.3's, exit around $3+

 

$DRAD - 

• RSI 83.76 and closed 5.94, above 5.8
• long term: RSI 74.8, very long term RSI 72.78
• Possible another 2-3 day pullback/rest - day 1 showed slight pullback
• Retesting $6, upside of $6+
• Long term target to (P/E 15 = $6.15, and P/E 20 = $8.2, Yahoo stated Forward P/E 28 = $11.28)
• Trade: Look for morning pullback, enter around 5.8's, exit around $6+

 

$MDWD - LOW FLOAT (10M)

 

• Market Cap 199M, Total Cash $55m, no debt, current ratio of 15
• Analysts report $13 to $14, average $13.3
• Beat street estimates EPS (0.17) v (0.31)e
• Current 9 MO EPS (0.66), could be beat vs (1.13)e
• Expected Rev growth $5.95M v $1.23M (483%)
• Awarded $112M contract - US Government
• 5 year contract $24M to support FDA approval process, $16M procurement
• Received approval from Argentina MPH
• Trade: Look for entry around 9ish, exit around $9.50+

 

Current longs/on watch: $TRIL (long term), $SPCB (long term), $NSSC (long term), $BTX, $CETX, $DRAD, $GIG, $APDN, $PGNX, $FORM, $CALL, $ULBI, $ZIXI

 

These tickers are not investment advice and should be used for educational purposes only.