So, while the market is busy being not busy, I am trying to hone my dip buying skills, so I'll share all my insights on preparing an actionable watchlist for it, recognizing bottoming action & executing and managing the trade.
Watchlist Building:
I think pennystocking framework is key to recognizing a coming crash, after a lot of green days, overextension & volume exhaustion will be key to an imminent crash. When those factors start to align I look for technical meaningful support/resistance zones where the crash might end at. When I say meaningful I mean around $ levels and where the support/resistance zones have a lot of volume & are tested many times before breaking ideally. Then I put them on my watchlist for the coming days until they crack, remembering those price levels.
So, when the crash is on, what do I look for?
Ideally, before even consider buying I want it to drop 10-15%+, then after a bunch of 1 min candlesticks I start to look at those technical zones I mentioned earlier and see how level2, time&sales and volume start to behave around those zones. I look for a "hammer" type candle where after a bunch of BIG down candles, you see a small red candle, much smaller, like the stock starts to drop less in 1 minute intervals, starting to turn & not pure panic selling anymore. When that happens I start to focus on level2 and look for MM's to start hitting bids with huge size compared to MM's on the sell side. This will lead to a big volume candle on the 1 min chart because of all the buying going on. I also look for prints going trough the time&sales table ABOVE the best ask, witch indicates dip buyers want to get in at any cost, putting limit orders above the current price to ensure a fill, thus supporting my thesis that the stock is now into "bounce mode".
Now, when I get to actually start trading these, I will add info into how to manage the trades. But I would risk the low of the dip, if that cracks, sell as fast as possible, even if it kinda holds there for a moment, because if it doesn't start bouncing after a bit, that indicates there is no bounce or there will be, but at a lower price. For profit targets I would use mainly level2 to see where sellers start stacking up again, ideally for a 15-30% gain.
When getting in, I would probably have the limit order ready and just change the price when I want to execute it, sending it faster so I can get executed.
Thanks for reading, as always, if you found it useful, give me a karma on the post & if you have any questions feel free to comment down bellow.
the only item i see here that you may consider is a larger drop then the 10-15% you stated. i have only done a few ofthese but i look for a run-up over many days of 50%, 100% or more. then when it comes down i look for 30% down, 50% down. so when it bounces I get a good reward.
@Noble1222 I say 10/15% as a very minimum before even starting to consider buying, but normally 20/30% crashes happen before the dip and Ill wait
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