It all started with what could've been a nice single...Breaking news play, contract winner, former spiker with PR and a 37% spike in price so far. I bought it mid-range off its high of 0.016. I was waiting for a bigger dip but it consolidated for a few minutes and looked about to spike.
And it did spike...on very mediocre volume...but a spike indeed. It even hit my 10% goal. I saw SirGhoul15 take a nice little single on it but I didn't take my chance. About 10 minutes into the trade it had spiked up to a HOD of 0.0159 at 1:01PM and fallen back down to my entry point. I made a note in my notebook that reads:
$BCNN - 13:07 EST - should've taken my 10% and ran. This was greed. As punishment I must sit in discomfort and HOPE!
(thanks Androo and Himmeny...I'm always journaling my thoughts when I'm in a trade now)
At the time of my note the price was back at my entry but there was zero volume trading. I was one of the larger position sizes so if I was going to get out I would have to sell on the bid, which was at about 0.0120 if I remember right. It's pretty crazy when I think about how my little $1500 learning account made me the big player in this stock...there's a red flag if I ever saw one!!! So I waited...hoping...and the whole time I knew it was wrong. I wasn't hoping for a profit any more, I was hoping to get out at break even! I am on a streak of very disciplined and well planned trades, it really hurt my pride to lock in a dumb one like this.
When I prepare to enter a trade, I use a spreadsheet called my Trade Entry Worksheet. It has the Sykes Sliding Scale to rate the trade and a spot to put in my entry price and it calculates what my 10% goal is and what my 2% loss is. The 2% number is in red and that's my stop. The 10% goal is conservative with a lot of spikers, but SINGLES ADD UP! I've heard it a thousand times from Tim and I believe it! I have a spreadsheet on my wall that shows how growing my trading account just 5% every day would result in my initial $1200 growing to over $100,000 in 91 trading days. I'm happy with that! So why would I ignore a 5-10% win on an illiquid little OTC when trading midday on a Tuesday!!!???
So did I cut my losses quickly? No! I "added on the dip" and held overnight. I was down 18% at that point and I wrote in my journal:
"Missed my chance to cut losses quickly and am praying for a gap up after the news spreads. If "hope" is a four letter word in trading...what is "pray"...I will never allow this to happen again."
At that point I knew I had failed on many levels and broke several trading rules. My hope wasn't for a win...just a smaller loss. My biggest win at this point is $422.87 on FAGI. I didn't want a loss that was bigger than that. But it's time to end this shameful chapter and move on.
My lessons learned:
1) Cut losses quickly
2) Avoid trading midday unless there is so much volume and momentum that my trade is a tiny drop in the bucket of shares being traded.
3) If there isn't record volume pushing a stock up, take my 5-10% when it hits. Only hold for more than 10% if the momentum is undeniable.
4) Cut losses quickly
5) As soon as the pattern is broken exit the trade
6) Cut losses quickly
7) Don't add to a losing position, only add if a trade is working and a better opportunity for a better price presents itself
8) Don't guess the reaction to news
I am ashamed of my performance on this one. I knew I had broken the #1 rule to get into the situation and I thought that since I missed my chance to cut losses quickly it didn't matter how long I waited. That was my biggest mistake.
Lesson #9 is to cut a trade as soon as I realize I'm wrong no matter what the price. NEVER let this happen again. This blog post is going on my wall facing me at my trading desk. I hope people don't think too badly of me for this trade. That's my biggest worry. I don't care about money or success, I just want to be a solid trader and a good member of this community.
Thanks for reading and trade safe. And CUT LOSSES QUICKLY!!!
Patience vs hope: Patience is when the stock is still within your plan. Hope is when the stock is outside of your plan and you are crossing your fingers that things will turn around and go your way.
It's okay to add to your position if and only if the stock is still within your plan (patience). Adding after your plan has been broken (hope) is dangerous. This is when you should be cutting your losses, when your plan is broken (or price/action is outside your plan))
you a good trader larry just need some fine tuning thats what year 2 is for
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