1/17/25

Again all these plays are sub par. 

 

 

NUKK

+68% Resolves Nasdaq Delisting Threat, Achieving Compliance Across All Key Parameters

 

06:20 Thinking about squeeze a month ago, if it can do it again…Wishful thinking.

Probably just a bounce play from the high fader 1 month ago.

Short interest <200K. 

Ascending triangle on 3m chart. Failed crack at 08:16. Almost entered. Below the triangle at 08:22.

 

06:35 Idea: Bounce on AH/PM highs around 32.14

Entered 33.

Seems like it stalled at 08:41

So slow I dont know if I’m thinking. 

08:50… am I seeing confirmation of my bounce? Can it break 33.59 VWAP?.. Answer was no.

06:54 cracked VWAP. 

06:58… moving very slow. Nervous it’ll slip down. 

07:02… struggling with level 2 at 33.00

07:14 ~5% pop, will it fill my order for 34.60? Yes. Can it go to 36.31

nice volume spike, can it continue? MACD crossover (red to green)

07:25 ascending channel. Bounce off 33.00. what will it do at open? Push past next oracle level 35.80 or fail and down below 33.00? MACD is still green 

 

07:35… wow.. major slippage at 4th minute! -13% in 2 minutes.

I think 33.00 and 35.00… as I say this it cracks down… I thought could go above 35.81 and run to 45.7

 

0745: Thinking about letting it run, but is testing LOD. It crossed VWAP to just below 35.80 which makes me think it can’t break it. 

 

07:54, when did I notice the symmetrical triangle?

 

07:59… letting it run

0801… can it break HOD 37.68? ITS TRYING 37.6699

0802… WEEEE! Wow. 

0807… too slow, picking my nose. What was I thinking? I dont even know, zoned out..

- thinking could it go 45? Take 42? Or go for 40?

0809: is this patience or risky? Pull backs are expected, but how do you know if it’s the kind before another runner or the ones that end it?

 

ANSWER: That’s a really solid question—trading often comes down to managing that balance between patience and risk. The challenge is in identifying whether a pullback is a temporary pause before a continuation or the start of a reversal. Here’s how you can think about it:

Patience: If you have a clear trend and support/resistance levels in place, patience might be the right call. The key is whether the pullback stays above a key support zone or if it shows signs of reversing with volume or indicators (like MACD or RSI turning back in your favor).

Risk: If the pullback is deep and breaks important levels (like VWAP, or a previous low), that might be a sign to bail before it turns into a bigger loss. The risk comes from waiting too long and hoping the trend will resume when the signs point to the opposite.

It’s a judgment call, but a good rule of thumb is to define your risk tolerance and stop-loss levels ahead of time. If it hits those, cut your losses, and if not, give it space to prove it’s not just a random pullback. If you’re constantly questioning it like you were, maybe the risk is higher than you’re comfortable with—and it’s a signal to reassess next time.

How do you usually decide whether to hold or cut a trade when it starts pulling back?

 

08:13 down 10% from highs.. can it bounce on oracle level 35.81 and push higher?

Looking like it… 08:15

0824… feeling disappointed that I missed out on 39.60, another 10% almost 25 minutes ago. Do I second guess?… 08:26 aaaand it broke down 34.60. have an order for 34.60, but not sending it. Why?

Why did I ignore the 5x 5-minute reds in a row (from HOD 39.85)???!

 

Sent order 34.60…. I dont think it will go back up…

08:31, gimme 34.60 and get me out… red candle, low volume, red MACD… eeesh.

08:34 brutal… bled 15% for 30 minutes…

 

DJT?

 

08:38… getting ready to sell.. just keeps dropping 

 

0850…WAITED 21 MINUTES AND -6% before closing out. 

still up on the trade, but poor performance on the tail end of the trade. Tried to let it run, but watched it bleed 30 whole fucking minutes. Left another 10% on the table.

- ran 11% (out of 26% potential) over Oracle 

 

I am enjoying the small gains on the overall account. Even though I get frustrated with a 10% move, it’s only 1 percent on my account. …we’re taking this slow, with the goal to beat mutual funds, ETFs, market.